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August 11, 2013

How MMS-nomics failed in India?


Nine and a quarter years are not a small period for any individual to show his/her credibility and presence especially when you are running a country and know the nerves of the nation as you had been an economist in the past. You can gauge it easily and come out with a discreet plan to change the fortunes of a nation currently under the hammer from all sides.

Yes, I am talking about Man Mohan Singh (MMS), the current Prime Minister (PM) of India who we all admired when he was taking an oath under the constitution of India. It was a proud moment for all of us as MMS (please excuse me; it is not the live MMS. He followed only dirty politics) had been the RBI Governor cum Economist for 2.5 years in the early eighties and then the Finance Minster in the early 1990s when he had the credit of reviving the ailing economy from the slump . Unfortunately, the MMS-nomics could not work in India in his 3rd stint as the Prime Minister of India and India saw the fall of her dignity along with the economic growth which is staring at the Hindu growth rate, a term coined when the GDP grows at 3.5 to 4% per annum.

MMS, since his elevation as PM has been construed as a puppet in the hands of the glorified dynasty run by a foreign born lady converted into India’s citizen due to a wicked past from a young and charismatic leader who is no more on this earth. We all hope the proverb “History repeats itself” does not prove true for the son who prefers eating at a Dalit’s home but never speaks on key national issues. Nonetheless he is still aspired for the post of PM. Despite getting a 2nd term in 2009, MMS could not turn the mandate into an opportunity and a series of scandals followed for all past sins committed by his ministers including him when they handled different portfolios. Some scams are so prominent that the sums involved are just wild guesses and run into trillions of rupees. MMS-nomics failed at all fronts, be the foreign policy, home policy, finance policy or social security policy. Nonetheless, to a certain extent, MMS is not responsible for the apathy brought to the country in the current economic situation as he is not given a free hand and not allowed to take decisions as the power still lies in the hand of the UPA Chairperson. Unlike other countries where the Head of the State played an important role in formulating and announcing the economic policies, in India under MMS’s rein, all key decisions were hijacked by the ministers like PC and others who had murky pasts (some have been proven but others are yet to be proved) as per different media publications. All ministers worked in favor of their near and dear turning India’s vicissitudes to losses only. Scams ruled the nations and thanks to Media, it got uncover ed in a very short period of time. Imagine what would have the scams’ size involved in the past among the beneficiaries when there was only one news channel and few limited print publications. Some of the famous scandals of the past are the Telecom Scam in 1993, Bofors’ scandal and many more which never got exposed.

The series of scams and scandals involving trillions of rupees dented India’s image and it led FIIs to withdraw money faster than they pumped in. Thanks to hawked eye review of India’s sovereign rating by all leading rating agencies where they turned bearish, India turned unfavorable for FIIs. The statement by Ben Bernanke, Fed Chairman of the USA that they would reduce the pumping of cheap money in the system progressively also led to unrests across the world especially emerging countries like India. India got hit hard and due to absence of any other policies protecting its burgeoning CAD, the partially convertible currency, Rupee got hit harder. As I talk, it has already become a ‘Senior Citizen’ and is sitting at all time historic low. All other assets except real estate have already seen extended losses or staring at negative growth. In a few pockets of the country, Real Estate has already seen few defaults and if it spreads like a jungle fire, it may give a scathing attack on the economy of the country.

Thanks to media and people’s awareness, if the government does not respond in a constructive way very soon, they are going to see its own funeral. They will try their luck after they enacted Food Security Bill into a law by passing an ordinance but at the same time, it would also burden the state’s exchequer significantly.

Rise MMS Rise! Let others sleep peacefully! Jai Ho!