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June 15, 2011

Net inflows dwindled by Rs. 48,850 Cr in May 11; Equity shows a net inflow after a lull

The lull in Equity in the month of May 11 didn’t deter Mutual Fund investors from investing in Equity Mutual Funds which showed an inflow after a brief lull. The broader indices Sensex and Nifty 50 which nosedived by 3.30 per cent approximately affected the diversified Equity AUM too which lost 1.72 per cent to Rs. 1,67,470 crore in May 2011 vis-à-vis Rs. 1,70,406 crore in April 2011. However, there has been a net inflow of Rs. 1,546 crore in Equity category in May 2011, much to the reprieve of Mutual Fund Industry which has been witnessing outflows continuously except for few occasions since the ban of entry loads in Aug 2009. In debt and other categories, net outflows were reported. The recent regulation of RBI to cap the banks’ investment in Mutual Fund up to 10 per cent of total banks’ net worth as on Mar 31 has started affecting the Liquid/Money Market category which saw an outflow of Rs. 39,603 crore in May 2011. Moreover, the Income category also reported an outflow of Rs. 11,141 crore. As on May 20, 2011, the banks’ net investment in Mutual Funds stood at Rs. 106,233 crore. It is estimated that the total net worth of the banking system stands at Rs. 3.13 which essentially means that the current investment of Rs. 1.06 lakh crore will drop to Rs. 30,000 – 35,000 crore in next six months which may impact the net flows in Income/Liquid categories.


Net Outflows in May 2011
In totality, the MF Industry AUM dropped by Rs. 53,926 crore or 6.87 per cent to Rs. 7.31 lakh crore in May 2011 from Rs. 7.85 lakh crore in Apr 2011. The categories which saw major fall are Other ETFs (-25.09 per cent), Liquid/Money Market Instruments (-17.43 per cent), Income Funds (-3.39 per cent), ELSS (-2.86 per cent), Gilt (-2.37 per cent) and Equity (-1.72 per cent). However, Gold ETF and FOF Investing Overseas lapped the AUM with a gain of 13.81 per cent and 10.83 per cent respectively. The trends of gold price continue to head for a bull run which prompts investors to invest in Gold ETFs. The table below shows the comparative flows and AUM of all major categories of Mutual Fund industry.

FMPs still rule the inflows
Perhaps FMP (Close ended Income Fund) is the only category which has been showing continuous inflows. In May 2011, there were 37 NFOs which collected a total of Rs. 7,416 crore. The burgeoning interest rates and tight liquidity in the financial system seem to remain in place; moreover, it is more likely that RBI may go for additional policy rate hike in upcoming mid-quarter review as on June 16, 2011.

New Funds enter into industry
Apart from FMPs, there were four open ended Funds in Income, Equity and Gold ETF category. While ICICI Prudential MIP 5 collected a total AUM of Rs. 27 crore, Sundaram Equity Plus garnered Rs. 134 crore in their NFOs. First of its kind, HSBC Brazil Fund collected a total amount of Rs. 313 crore in May 2011.

Unique Investors
For the first time, AMFI declared the unique investors data which clearly shows that Equity investors rule the industry. There are a total of 3.77 crore unique investors out of which 2.43 crore (65 per cent) investors belong to Equity, 72.65 lakh (19 per cent) to ELSS, 30 lakh (8 per cent) to Income, 22.29 lakh (6 per cent) to Balanced and remaining to other categories. In Gold ETFs, there are 3.87 lakh unique investors.

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