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March 27, 2013

Would the new Banking Licenses solve the high obsession with Gold and Land?


Where the unique demographic dynamics in India come as praise for consumer driven India, the absence of financial access to a larger population puts its viability on a question mark. Though the government and RBI have been continuously putting efforts to bring the rural disconnect under the main stream, the gap is still very wide.

In the absence of financial access, the rural populations have no choice but lure for Gold and Land which come handy in the time of distress. Though the government complains of high gold import as one of the main reasons of inflated Current Account Deficit in recent times, they have not provided the solutions to bridge the gap; instead they imposed high custom duty on gold which they hope will suppress the demand for gold. In my view, the demand may diminish temporarily; however, in the long run, these factors would be ignored. In rural areas, people buy gold for protecting themselves against the inflation and a hedge against the local economic downturns. Similar is the case with Land which is finding obsession with many people, thanks to increasing wings of industry and their focus in rural India. Also, as the daily wage earners don’t find any wage opportunities beyond 45, they find the piece of land as the only asset which can come handy in all circumstances.

So, should India sit and watch the apathy? The recent talks of new bank licenses for few serious private players have been on the roof provided what business plans they submit to RBI. Few known players whom the market have been boasting as serious contenders for bank licenses may find themselves at advantage as they would work under the full bank parameters. But the question arises whether the mere new banking licenses with a promise to spread their wings in rural areas are going to help in bridging the wide rural gap. It may or may not; at least the history says no. In the last banking licenses distribution where Yes Bank, Kotak Bank and others came into existence, they created niche in all activities other than rural banking.

So, is there any ready institution which is already connected to a wider rural population? Yes, to a certain extent, the recent and newly mushroomed Micro Finance Institutions (MFIs) have tried reaching and connecting to the ground but failed to make their footprints as the industry got commercialized. While a lot of names have been flourishing in the street, one established organization where every Indian have the faith and transacted at least once in their life time and will have the connect in future too is India Post, famously known as Post Office or Daak Ghar. With a mammoth distribution network i.e. 155,500 offices, a majority of them in rural and semi-urban areas, India Post should be an obvious choice which everyone is ignoring. So far, India Post has been providing para-banking services like accepting time and demand deposits, saving accounts and other financial services. So, virtually, it operates as a bank except granting loans.

RBI must ponder over the obvious choice of making India Post as India Post Bank apart from other names. India will not give up their obsession of Land and Gold unless the financial access and simple financial products reach to the rural India. Also the time will say how much contribution the Direct Cash Transfer (DCT) and National Food Security Bill (NFSB) will make. Will they act as political stunts to attract votes given the general election is due in 2014.

Long Live India!

March 23, 2013

SEBI plays ‘HOLI’; introduces color labels for Mutual Funds


If you ask a retail investor if he has made money in the last 5 years despite the broader indices hovering in the range of 19,000 to 20,000, the answer would be no and in fact they would swear not to touch the capital market again. So, the question arises, “Have the Mutual Funds lost the charm” or “Have they been mis-sold which investors have realized and vowed to give a pass”? Probably these questions must be the pondering in the mind of SEBI, India’s Capital Market Regulator while zeroing in a way to make Mutual Fund a simpler investment product. And they played ‘HOLI’ by assigning Color Labels to different categories of Mutual Funds to define the level of risks – High, Medium or Low. But the product labeling comes with a disclaimer “Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them” for investors who are still not able to decide the fund based on their objectives and investment risks. Since ‘Red’ invites a bad rapport and somehow gives a negative signal, SEBI played safe by assigning a Brown Color for high risk products so that investors should not disown those products at all. So, they assigned colors – Brown, Yellow and Green for High Risk, Medium Risk and Low Risk products respectively.

So, the funds would be labeled based on the parameters as given below:
1)      Nature of Scheme such as to create wealth or provide regular income in an indicative time horizon (short, medium or long term)

2)      A brief about the investment objective i.e. the product aims to invest in equity or equity related securities of, say, top 200 companies by Market Capitalization.

3)      It will also label the level of risk by assigning the respective color box along with the narration of risk i.e. High, Low or Medium
The SEBI also mandated that these labeling should also be disclosed in front pages of all related documents like Common Application Form and NFO Forms, Scheme Information Documents (SIDs) and Key Information Memorandum (KIM) and in all kind of advertisements wherever displayed be it print, tv or online.
The ruling would be applicable with effect from July 01, 2013 to all existing schemes and all future schemes to be launched. Fund Houses may choose to follow the provisions before the effective date.
Will it help first time investors?
If a grocery buyer goes to the market to buy an edible product, he selects the product based on the green veg label or red non-veg label based on his requirement. However, he may not be able to understand its constituents if he is not literate. Ditto may be the case with retail investors with these MF labels; they may end up buying the mutual fund depending upon his risk appetite but the product may not be really suitable for them. So, they must seek help from the Financial Advisor who will help them in selecting the right product.

So, will the advisor get away even if he has recommended a wrong product? It does not seem easy in the current given scenario. Recently AMFI introduced an Employee Unique Identification Number (EUIN) where the advisor needs to mention this unique id in the application form and would be answerable for the logic of investment irrespective of wherever he moves as the code remains unique to him/her only.

Moreover, it is also suggested that investors must undergo risk profiling taking into account of their income, age, assets, liabilities and other goals and then reach on their risk appetite. Apart from the performance, portfolio philosophy and fund management style, one should also look into costs which are measured by expense ratio and exit loads.

What turns off?
Though SEBI tried keeping three simple colors – Brown, Yellow and Green, it failed to answer for the vast product varieties within the same categories.
Exempli Gratia - Within equity category, there are many sub categories like Large Cap, Small Cap or Thematic. Though they all have equity as common constituents, the constituents differ in their inherent risk which may deviate very high. A pure FMCG fund and a Pure Diversified Equity Fund would be labeled as Brown Box with High Risk; however, both have separate set of risks defined internally.
Also AMFI must market the new labeling actively and position it in a way that investors don’t end up in same hassles of selecting the wrong Mutual Fund which does not align with the investment objective and horizon.

Laudable ground work; confidence still shaken
Though it is a laudable effort by SEBI to educate investors and help them take an informed decision, the time will say whether it really helps to bring back the lost charm in Mutual Funds. Or will the product labels lose its spark despite a colorful mix? Despite all these measures, it is very important to instill the confidence wobbled in recent past which is leading to continuous outflows of retail money from the Mutual Fund industry. Constructive Investors’ Education is the mother of all steps. Hope the SEBI’s new ‘HOLI’ colors make a colorful impact in investors’ life. Happy Holi!

Happy Investing!