Mutual Funds’ Net Assets dwindled in June; Equity saw a marginal inflow

After seeing few positives in recent months, Equity saw a good dip in net inflow in the month of June. The net inflows in Equity Mutual Funds dwindled to Rs. 20 crore in June 2011 from Rs. 1,546 crore in May 2011. This is the massive fall in inflows in Equity in recent months.

The uncertain domestic equity market coupled with the bleak global factors predominantly emanating from Euro region also caused Indian investors to redeem their investments out of Equity Mutual Funds and allocate to fixed income products. The domestic equity market remained in bear mood in most of trading days in June before given a boost by FIIs in the last week; thus, letting the broader indices Sensex and Nifty 50 to end in positive.

In addition, the overall Mutual Fund assets fell to Rs. 673,176 crore in June 2011 from Rs. 731,448 crore in May 2011, a fall of Rs. 58,272 crore or 7.97 per cent. Also, the industry saw a total outflow of Rs. 62,442 crore which was mainly caused by outflows in short term debt category – Liquid Funds and Ultra Short Term Funds. In total, these two categories had an outflow of Rs. 62,378 crore. Other categories which saw a net outflow are Gilt (Rs. 88 crore), ELSS (Rs. 80 crore), FOF Investing Overseas (Rs. 42 crore) and Other ETFs (Rs. 210 Crore). Only Balanced Fund, Equity Fund and Gold ETF categories saw a net inflow of Rs. 84 crore, Rs. 20 crore and Rs. 252 crore respectively.

Banks continue to reduce their investments in Mutual Funds; as on June 17, 2011, the net investments stand at Rs. 84,034 crore from over Rs. 1 lakh crore on May 20, 2011. Recently, the RBI has instructed all banks to cap their investments in Mutual Funds up to 10 per cent of their net worth as on Mar 31, 2011. Earlier, the deadline had been as on Oct 2011 which has been extended by another six months. It is being expected that investments worth Rs. 50,000-55,000 crore would flow out of the system in next six months.

Net Outflows in June 2011

The outflows continued in June 2011; barring categories like Equity, Balanced and Gold ETFs, all other categories saw a net outflow. The equity category saw a net inflow of Rs. 20 crore on standalone basis; however, if we consolidate Equity with Balances and ELSS, there has been a net outflow in totality.

On net asset basis, the MF industry AUM also came down to Rs. 673,176 crore, a fall of 7.97 per cent. The other categories which saw a major fall in assets are Liquid/Money Market (-22.36 per cent), Other ETFs (-8.25 per cent), FOF Investing Overseas (-6.2 per cent), Income (-5.49 per cent), Balanced (-4.45 per cent) and others.

Gold ETF continues to see inflow and increase in AUM too. In last 26 months, it did not see any outflow except at one occasion when it saw a marginal outflow of Rs. 6 crore. In totality, it saw a total inflow of Rs. 4,000 crore in last 26 months. In June 2011, it saw a total inflow of Rs. 252 crore; also its net assets increased to Rs. 5,568 crore in June 2011 from Rs. 5,463 crore in May 2011. 

FMPs still rule the inflows

We continue seeing new FMPs in the street. A total of 74 FMPs has been launched collecting a total AUM of Rs. 7,747 crore. The new fund house Union KBC Mutual Fund launched its maiden Equity Fund, Union KBC Equity Fund which collected a total AUM of Rs. 167 crore. It also launched a liquid fund, Union KBC Liquid Fund.

Happy Reading!

- Amar Ranu

Outflows in Equity continued; Total MF AUM up by 32.61% to Rs. 7.85 lakh crore

The equity outflows continued in April 2011, following the market negative sentiments and the ongoing geopolitical tensions in MENA region which have skyrocketed the crude oil prices affecting the domestic inflation. In April 11, there has been an outflow of Rs. 1,076 crore for second month successively. In last one year, the equity category lost Rs. 13,348 crore. However, the total AUM in Equity grew to Rs. 1,70,406 crore, up marginally by 0.38 per cent. In other equity related categories – ELSS, Balanced and other ETFs, there were mixed signals. While ELSS showed an outflow of Rs. 289 crore, the other ETFs category showed an inflow of Rs. 510 crore. The Balance category also showed a marginal inflow of Rs. 17 crore.

Slowly and steadily, ETFs have been becoming the mass product as shown by large accumulation of assets in it. While Gold ETFs continue to grow by leap and bounds, other ETFs also grew drawing interests from retail investors. In last one year, the Gold ETFs saw an inflow of Rs. 2,319 crore while the AUM grew more than double. Its current AUM grew to Rs. 4,800 crore in Apr 2011 from Rs. 1,711 corre, up by 180.54 per cent. To some extent, the uptick in gold prices is also responsible for the growth in AUM. The gold prices rose 29 per cent in last one year.

Net Inflows in April 2011

On the comfort side, the Mutual Fund Industry AUM rose to Rs. 7.85 lakh crore, up by 32.61 per cent or Rs. 1.93 lakh crore mainly contributed by Liquid/Money Market and Income Fund Categories. In Mar 2011, the industry lost Rs. 1.15 lakh crore.  The Liquid/Money Market AUM grew to Rs. 2.22 lakh crore in April 2011 from Rs. 73,666 crore in Mar 2011, up by 201.9 per cent. There has been a net inflow of Rs. 1.47 lakh crore in this category. Similarly, the Income category also showed upward movement in net AUM including net inflow in April. The category AUM grew to Rs. 3.35 lakh crore, up by 14.63 per cent and the net inflows were Rs. 37,891 crore.

In a significant ruling to Mutual Funds in the recent monetary review, the RBI has mandated that banks should restrict their exposure to 10 per cent of their net worth as on last year in Liquid Mutual Funds. So, eventually, the investments around Rs. 50,000 crore will outflow in next 6 months.

FMPs still rule the inflows

The burgeoning interest rates on account of high inflation have made the FMP category conducive for the market. Moreover, the uncertainly in equity market which is expected to remain in near future have also led to demand from investors. In April 2011, there has been 22 FMPs collecting a total of Rs. 3,065 crore.

New Funds enter into industry; some exited

Apart from FMPs, there were three open ended Income Funds named as Axis Dynamic Bond Fund, Canara Robeco Yield Advantage Fund and Peerless Child Plan Fund which collected a total sum of Rs. 41 crore. In gilt category, Daiwa Govt. Securities Fund – Short Term Plan collected Rs. 57 crore. There were no other NFOs.

However, the number of total equity funds reduced with some AMCs merging the schemes with the other existing schemes. As against earlier of 328, the total equity funds stand at 318. JM Mutual Fund and ICICI Prudential Mutual Funds merged their schemes with other existing schemes.

Innovation reaches to Indian Investors – Try MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF

Imagine some of the most innovative companies on the globe; probably you would name Google, Apple, Ebay, Amazon or others etc. They have presence almost all over the globe. Now, if you want to buy these companies, you need to find an Indian broker who offers the facility to buy foreign shares. Probably there are very few brokers in India who offer to buy foreign shares; and that too comes at high cost ranging 1 - 4 per cent. Moreover, your investment will fall under the foreign investment limit of        $ 2,00,000. So, as an individual, you can’t invest more than US $ 2,00,000.

Here come your solutions – Invest in MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF

Motilal Oswal Mutual Fund, after trying the domestic innovations in the form of M50 (a large cap oriented fund) and M100 (a mid cap oriented fund) – these funds got wide acceptance from investors – launched MOSt Shares NASDAQ-100 ETF, India’s first US Equity ETF providing exposure to US and International firms on NASDAQ Index.

Why MOSt Shares N100?

·         The fund provides unique access to World’s most innovative firms; all non-financials including some market leaders like Google, Apple, Cisco, Baidu and many more.

·         It is Rupee dominated investment and does not fall under the foreign investment cap of US $ 200,000.

·         It is a passive investing with no discretion to Fund Manager; that too comes at a lower cost (relatively at 1 per cent).

·         Very low-correlation of NASDAQ-100 with India’s major indices – around 0.29 with Sensex and Nifty – thus, providing the ideal diversification option for domestic investors.

·         The NASDAQ-100 has a healthy mix of all sectors – Technology, Consumer Services, Health Care, Industrials, Telecommunications, Consumer Goods, Oil & Gas and Basic Materials – with around 60 per cent of holdings falling under Technology.

·         The NFO being treated as Other than Equity Product (since the investment is made outside India) will offer Double Indexation Benefit as the AMC claims that the allotment would happen before March 31, 2011.

Why NASDAQ-100 Index?

·         No doubt NASDAQ-100 Index® (NDX) is one of the widely watched indices in the world. It includes 100 of the largest domestic and international non-financial securities listed on The NASDAQ Stock Market based on market capitalization.

·         NASDAQ-100 comprises the A (Apple) to Y (Yahoo) of innovation. Comparatively, the index has sound fundamentals, low valuation, low correlation with Indian markets and global spread of innovation.

Performance Analysis (NASDAQ-100 vs Nifty)

One can suspect why an investor needs to diversify beyond India if he is getting better returns in India only. It is imperative to state that the decoupling story no longer holds true in India vis-à-vis to developed economies. However, the low correlation of NASDAQ-100 against major Indian indices makes a strong case on the performance of NASDAQ-100. The long term growth story of NASDAQ-100 is still intact as relevant from the historical performance of NASDAQ-100 vs Nifty.

While in 1-year and 3-years category, NASDQ-100 has beaten Nifty by good margin, in other categories, it lagged Nifty. However, in 15-years category, (In India, hardly any investor keeps his money locked for 15 years), the NASDAQ-100 has bitten Nifty by almost 300bps.

Why MOSt Shares N100 at this juncture?

Most emerging markets have dramatically come out of the global financial crisis since the fall of Lehman Brothers at faster pace in comparison to its developed counterparts; however, the inflationary pressure kept on building too, thanks to hike in commodities’ prices around the globe, supply-side issues including demand related factors. Also, there had been geo-political tensions arising from Tunisia spreading to Egypt, then Libya and now Bahrain. The natural catastrophe in Japan colliding with the man-made catastrophe (Nuclear Plants blast and leakage) has further worsened the situation. The global crude prices have gone beyond US $ 111 per barrel and it is estimated if the similar trends continue, it can touch US $ 200 per barrel.

Moreover, the developed countries followed the Tortoise race in ‘Hare and Tortoise’ race and have started recovering from the financial crisis recently. They have been showing signs of increased employment, higher productivity and increasing economic growth. So, in a nutshell, the United States is expected to re-emerge as an engine driving global growth.

Words of Caution

Diversification is the key to investors’ portfolio to minimize the losses and the N100 fits in due to low correlations with Indian indices. However, any uneven and significant movement of rupee-dollar exchange rate against can have a bearing on returns. Also, in the long run, Indian equities may outperform US equities as the strong domestic consumption story still remains intact.

Happy Investing!

Inflows to Equity continued; total inflows upped by Rs. 25,757 cr

The growth saga in Equity continues with a net inflow in Equity categories – Equity, ELSS and Balanced. The Equity category saw a net inflow of Rs. 2,495 crore, the highest inflow since July 2009. This positive figure is also for the third time in a row month-wise. However, the net assets of Equity dwindled due to fall in broader markets and outflows of foreign ‘hot moneys’. While the FIIs were the net sellers to the tune of Rs. 4,584 crore in Equity, Mutual Funds were the net investors to the tune of Rs. 1,477 crore. In totality, the Equity AUM nosedived to Rs. 1.59 lakh crore in Feb 2011 from Rs. 1.65 lakh crore in Jan 2011.

Total AUM also upped

The total industry AUM also rose to Rs. 7,07,412 crore in Feb 2011 from Rs. 6,91,080 crore in Jan 2011, a gain of 2.36 per cent. Also the total inflows were Rs. 25,757 crore in Feb 2011. The industry witnessed a strong inflow in Income Funds specially closed ended FMPs which saw 65 NFOs collecting a total sum of Rs. 17,232 crore in Feb 2011. The banks also upped its investment in Mutual Fund instruments predominantly in Income Funds and Liquid/Money Market Funds which saw inflows of Rs. 13,708 crore and Rs. 8,770 crore during the month. As on Feb 11, 2011, the banks’ combined investment reached to Rs. 95,018 crore compared to Rs. 13,483 crore in Dec 31, 2010.

New FMPs continued pouring in

The high interest rate scenario and tight liquidity in the financial system prompted Mutual Fund houses to launch FMPs which have become investors’ favorites. The tight liquidity has sent the CD/CP rates haywire crossing 10 per cent. Moreover, banks have also been building its balance sheets through subscription in Certificate of Deposits (CDs) as the financial year closes in. During the month, a total of 65 FMPs and Hybrids Funds were launched.

Other categories too saw inflows

The other equity categories such as ELSS, Balanced Funds and Other ETFs saw inflows to the tune of Rs. Rs. 348 crore, Rs. 216 crore and Rs. 480 crore respectively. The Gold ETF category also witnessed its successive positive inflows to the tune of Rs. 25 crore; lower than the last month figure of Rs. 125 crore. However, the gilt fund category and FOF investing overseas saw outflows to the tune of Rs. 271 crore and Rs. 14 crore respectively.

New Funds enter into industry

A total of 5 funds came into existence in open end category with 3 funds in Income category and 2 funds in Equity category. In close-ended category, 65 funds were launched in Feb 2011 which mostly consisted of FMPs and Hybrid Funds.

- Happy Investing!

TINA plus S – Curve Effect = M100, a Midcap ETF

After the success of MOSt Shares M50 ETF, the fundamentally managed ETF and the remixed version of Nifty 50 which created record in terms of largest number of ETF investors, Motilal Oswal Asset Management Company Ltd. (MOAMC) has come out with a unique and novel product MOSt Shares M100 ETF having TINA (There Is No Alternative) and S-Curve effect. It is India’s first mid cap ETF based on CNX Midcap Index.

Mid Cap Space – unfilled opportunity for investors

Investors have always been scouting for mid cap space for better returns in comparison to large cap stocks, even at a higher volatility. Many fund houses sensed this opportunity and introduced active mid-cap funds; however, most of them failed to beat their benchmark, categorically CNX Mid Cap over a longer period of time. Moreover, the high expense costs (on an average 2.1 per cent) for these funds have been eating their returns. So, practically, investors have been left with no option but to invest in these funds relatively at higher costs.

MOSt Shares M100 ETF

MOAMC known for its innovations have filled this gap with the launch of MOSt Shares M100 ETF, India’s first mid cap ETF based on CNX Midcap Index. The primary objective of the scheme is to seek investment return that corresponds generally to the performance of the CNX Mid Cap Index, subject to tracking error. 

Why M100 ETF with CNX Mid-Cap Index?

1)     The Fund proposes to keep the expense ratio within 100 bps unlike in active funds which have 2 per cent plus.

2)     In longer investment period say 3 years and 5 years, CNX Mid Cap has outperformed the average midcap fund by a good margin.

3)     The volatility of CNX Mid Cap Index (25.5 per cent) is less than Nifty 50 (26.1 per cent); so, you are getting higher returns even at lower risk.

4)     None of the constituents of CNX Mid Cap has more than 4 per cent exposure in the index; so, they are avoiding concentration risk, an important factor if the market moves uneven.

5)     CNX Mid Cap Index is driven by consumption growth story with majority exposures to HealthCare, FMCG, Auto, Construction etc; so, in long term, the index is going to perform better in comparison to other indices.

6)     Being an ETF, it trades like a share and acts as a fund with no entry and exit loads and portfolio disclosed on daily basis.

TINA and S-Effect

Frankly speaking, the TINA affect applies here – There Is No Alternative to this product in the market. Historically, CNX Mid Cap has bitten its large index counterpart in long year’s category. So, logically, the investors will get exposure in Mid Cap stocks at lesser costs (1 per cent – proposed). Moreover, the S-Curve effect applies to mid-cap stocks – from inception to high growth to maturity i.e. Small Caps -> Mid Caps -> Large Caps. These hidden gems are under-researched, under-owned and under-valued. So, they provide a good growth opportunity in future. 

Word of Caution

1)     Mid cap stocks provide better returns in comparison to large cap companies; however, they have the downside effect too in bear market. However, investors planning to hold for longer years (minimum of 3-5 years) can get good returns over Large Caps.

2)     The proposed expense ratio (up to 1 per cent) is a win-win situation for investors; however, the fund house may go for the maximum permissible expense of 1.5 per cent which can deter the performance. However, it is still below the average expense ratio (over 2 per cent) of active mutual funds.

Should you buy?

First of its kind, the mid cap space has always been dominated by active funds. However, with the availability of this product, the investors fraternity must be excited to get exposures in mid cap stocks at comparatively lesser costs.  Also, the ETF story has started running in India which generally works at lower costs and in the long run, the history says that passive funds work better than an active funds. No doubt ETFs are going to bang in coming years.

M100 rocks!

Happy Investing!

- Amar Ranu